Suggested viewing:Should We "Wager" on God? Cosmic Skeptic vs Liz Jackson.Liz Jackson has recently co-published a modern critique of Pascal's Wager from a Decision Theory perspective, and has surveyed how the standard objections don't undermine the impetus to take the wager. Salvaging Pascal's Wager (see: 5.5 Pascal's Mugging Objection)
If an organization evangelizes and God is real --The gains are infinite (Everyone they evangelized to who became a believer was saved from an eternity in hell to an eternity in paradise. All of their sorrows and suffering are no more, and there will be for them everlasting joy.)
@shoytAs not to derail this thread I would direct you to this post, sir. Let me know what you think.Argument from Doxastic Involuntarism
Quote from: ChristianInvestigator on July 28, 2020, 01:35:33 amIf an organization evangelizes and God is real --The gains are infinite (Everyone they evangelized to who became a believer was saved from an eternity in hell to an eternity in paradise. All of their sorrows and suffering are no more, and there will be for them everlasting joy.)This claim assumes the Arminian view of salvation, a view that one may not hold. For example, under the Calvinist view, what is done in this life by the non-elect has no bearing on their ultimate post-mortem fate. A possible reason why Arminianism emerged in the first place was that feature of Calvinism.Then, of course, there is the Universalist view, in which, again, what is done in this life has no bearing on one's ultimate post-mortem fate, although it will affect the nature of the progression to that ultimate fate.
Pascal lived in a society that was Roman Catholic, so the wager was 1) believe in Roman Catholicism, or 2) be an atheist.In such a society, his wager MAY have made sense.Today the wager is 1) be an atheist, 2) be a Roman Catholic, 3) be a Baptist, 4) be a Mormon, 5) be a Jehovah Witness, 6) .......... N)where N is the number of Christian sects that say if you choose the wrong Christian sect you aren't saved.So your probability of picking the right sect is 1/N.Are you feeling lucky?
Put it this way. Say there was a lottery with a googleplex dollars reward, but only one in a billion chance to win. Should you spend your entire life savings buying tickets? I think any rational individual would say no, obviously not. So an "expected value" approach breaks down in these kind of cases.