Trump can blackmail Republicans via his ability to manipulate his base. If, and/or how rapidly that will change is an open question. I suspect the Republicans are effectively Trump's for the next four years.
Quote from: wonderer on November 15, 2020, 11:29:49 pmTrump can blackmail Republicans via his ability to manipulate his base. If, and/or how rapidly that will change is an open question. I suspect the Republicans are effectively Trump's for the next four years.He's the tea party on steriods and with a leader. It could even be pretty dangerous. I wish he would just retire from politics but that's wishful thinking. The only bit of optimism is if he wants to push Ivanka into office. Although I think he will run for 2024.
Trump is still enormously popular with his base, which constitutes a significant percentage of Republican voters. They love him. When he leaves office, there is no reason to expect he will be quiet. I expect the Trump rallies to continue in one way or another, Trump 2024 signs to show up fairly quickly and for Trump to be back on TV in a major way. He loves attention. I've heard people float the idea that he may start his own media channel, and I think that is plausible. So, I don't think Trumpism as a phenomenon is over by a long shot. It still seems risky for Republicans to defy or fact check Trump, but I do see a divide within the party over the voter fraud claims. I'm hoping it leads to a permanent rift among Republicans, with Trumpism transforming into a shrinking conspiracy bubble with an alternate reality inside it that eventually just pops or goes away.I'm not even sure calling this movement Trumpism is a good title, as it seems to predate Trump with the tea party, the alt-right, rural militias and all of that. Trump just sort of emerged as a champion for that movement.
Although the data is still in flux, the 2020 election is remarkable in the sense that it had the highest voter turnout in the last 100 years. Something about Trump's platform and persona energized the Republican party in ways no previous candidate ever has. But on the same token, something about Trump's platform and persona energized the Democratic party too.Something that will trouble Republican analysts is that, despite the energy that Trump brought to the party, he never cracked 50% of the popular vote. So, long-term, MAGA is not a winning strategy.
He's the tea party on steriods
Despite his off putting character Trump ran Biden close. So will the Republicans stick with Trumpism or reject it?
Quote from: Harvey on November 16, 2020, 11:34:23 amHe's the tea party on steriods Do steroids induce belief in conspiracy theories? That is a huge, unfortunate aspect of Trump. A person who thinks that way is irrational, and irrationality is dangerous. It's fortunate he's an isolationist - he's not going to start a war on purpose. But it implies poor judgment that could put us at risk other than war.